PANDEMIJA VIRUSA KORONA: EKONOMSKE POSLEDICE I REAKCIJE VLADA
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.22190/TEME200824050MKljučne reči:
pandemija, globalna kriza, kriva oporavka, “sigurnosna mreža”, “novac iz helikopteraApstrakt
Ključni cilj ovog istraživanja jeste da se na bazi analize, za predmet istraživanja validnih akademskih, statističkih i Internet izvora, sagledaju globalne ekonomske posledice pandemije bolesti COVID-19, i dokaže pretpostavka da su te posledice znatno veće od onih koje je izazvala Globalna finansijska kriza 2008. godine. U radu se, takođe, prezentuju moguće krive oporavka globalne ekonomije, i ocenjuju mere koje su preduzele institucije u EU, SAD i Republici Srbiji u borbi protiv bolesti COVID-19.
Reference
Ahir, H., Bloom N., and Furceri D. (2020, April 04). World Uncertainty Index. Available at:
https://worlduncertaintyindex.com/data/ (12/12/2020)
Baldwin, R. (2020), “The supply side matters: Guns versus butter, COVID-style.” VOXEU,
March. Available at: https://voxeu.org/article/supply-side-matters-guns-versus-butter-
covid-style (1/7/2020)
Baldwin, R., and Beatrice, W.M. (2020), Economics in the Time of COVID-19. London:
CEPR Press.
Barro, R. J., Ursua, J. F., Weng, J. (2020), “The Coronavirus and the Great Influenza
Epidemic-Lessons from the "Spanish Flu" for the Coronavirus's Potential Effects on Mortality and Economic Activity.” CESifo, Working Paper No. 8166. Available at: https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/cesifo1_wp8166.pdf (3/8/2020)
Coronavirus outbreak could cost world's airlines up to $314bn. Available at:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/14/coronavirus-outbreak-could-cost- worlds-airlines-up-to-314bn (19/4/2020)
Cuddington, J. T., and Hancock. J. D. (1994), “Assessing the Impact of AIDS on the Growth
Path of the Malawian Economy.” Journal of Developing Economics 43:363-368.
Cuddington, J. T., and Hancock, J. D. (1995), “The Macroeconomic Impact of AIDS in
Malawi: A Dualistic, Labor Surplus Economy.” Journal of African Economies 4:1-28.
ECB announces €750 billion Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP). Available
at:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2020/html/ecb.pr200318_1~3949d6f266.en.html
(19/4/2020)
ECB unveils €750 billion stimulus against coronavirus. Available at:
https://www.euractiv.com/section/coronavirus/news/ecb-unveils-e750-billion-stimulus-against-coronavirus/ (21/4/2020)
Eichenbaum, M., Rebelo, S., Trabandt, M. (2020), “The Macroeconomics of Epidemics.”
Working Paper 26882. Available at: http://www.nber.org/papers/w26882 (3/8/2020)
Eurogroup agrees on €540 billion corona-package. Available at:
https://www.euractiv.com/section/economy-jobs/news/eurogroup-agrees-on-e540-billion-corona-package/ (22/4/2020)
European Car Sales Fall the Most in Decades, Signaling Slump. Available at:
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/17/business/europe-eu-car-sales.html (7/5/2020)
Eurostat, Newsrelease, Euroindicators, 74/2020 - 30 April 2020. Available at:
https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/documents/2995521/10294708/2-30042020-BP-
EN.pdf/526405c5-289c-30f5-068a-d907b7d663e6 (4/5/2020)
FactSet, 2020.
Freire, S. (2004), “Impact of HIV/AIDS on saving behaviour in South Africa.”
TIPS/DPRU/Cornell University Forum: African Development and Poverty Reduction.
Forecasted change in revenue from the travel and tourism industry due to the coronavirus
(COVID-19) pandemic worldwide from 2019 to 2020. Available at: https://www.statista.com/forecasts/1103426/covid-19-revenue-travel-tourism-industry-forecast (18/4/2020)
Gormsen, J. N., and Koijen, R. S. (2020), “Coronavirus: Impact on Stock Prices and
Growth Expectations.” University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2020-22. Available at: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3555917 (15/5/2020)
Haacker. M. (2020), The economic consequences of HIV/AIDS in Southern Africa.
International Monetary Fund, 2.
Here’s what happened to the stock market on Thursday. Available at:
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/12/what-happened-to-the-stock-market-thursday-sp-500-
joins-dow-in-bear-market.html (22/12/2020)
IATA Members. Available at: https://www.iata.org/en/about/members/ (19/4/2020)
Key dates and milestones in the S&P 500's history. Available at:
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks-sp-timeline-idUSBRE9450WL20130506
(12/5/2020)
Lagarde: eurozone faces unprecedented peacetime slump. Available at:
Lee J-W., and McKibbin, W. (2004), “Globalization and Disease: The Case of SARS.” Asian
Economic Papers 3 (1): 113-131.
Marc-Olivier Strauss-Kahn (May 2020), Can we compare the COVID-19 and 2008
crises? SUERF Policy Note, Issue No. 164. Available at:
https://www.suerf.org/policynotes/13389/can-we-compare-the-covid-19-and-2008-crises
(12/12/2020)
Milovanović, G., Radisavlјević, G., Đukić, G. (2020). The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on
the Serbian economy. 23rd DQM International Conference ICDQM-2020
„DEPENDABILITY AND QUALITY MANAGEMENT”. Proceedings. Prijevor: 25-26
June.
Milovanović, G., Milanović, S., Radisavljević, G. (2020). “Structural Changes in Foreign Trade
as a Factor of Competitiveness of the Republic of Serbia.” Economic Themes, 58(2): 149-
DOI 10.2478/ethemes-2020-0009.
Milovanović, G. (2020). Globalno snabdevanje u eri pandemije bolesti KOVID-19. “Digitalna
transformacija u funkciji privrednog razvoja Republike Srbije.” Niš: Ekonomski fakultet
Univerziteta u Nišu.
Next: navigating a downturn and positioning for recovery. Available at:
https://www.ey.com/en_gl/ccb/how-do-you-find-clarity-in-the-midst-of-covid-19-crisis#next (7/5/2020)
Shannon, G. W., and Willoughby, J. (2004), “Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) in
Asia: A Medical Geographic Perspective.” Eurasian Geography and Economics, 45(5): 359-381.
Stock Market Crash 2008. Available at: https://www.adigitalblogger.com/share-market/stock-
market-crash-2008/ (27/12/2020)
The latest: European Commission forecasts historic recession for 2020. Available at:
Top 10 Dow Jones Drops. Available at:
http://content.time.com/time/specials/packages/article/0,28804,1845523_1845619,00.html
(27/12/2020)
Trade Woes Push IMF Global Growth Outlook to Decade-Low of 3%. Available at:
VW sees multi-speed coronavirus rebound led by China. Available at:
Western Balkans Regular Economic Report: Spring 2020. Available at:
https://www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca/publication/western-balkans-regular-economic-report (5/5/2020)
World Economic Outlook, April 2020: The Great Lockdown. Available at:
https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2020/04/14/weo-april-2020 (28/5/2020)
Wren-Lewis, S. (2020), The economic effects of a pandemic. U Baldwin, R., and Beatrice,
W.M. (eds). Economics in the Time of COVID-19. A VoxEU.org Book, Centre for Economic
Policy Research, London. Available at:
https://voxeu.org/system/files/epublication/COVID-19.pdf (1/5/2020)
Yahoo Finance, 2020.
