ПРИМЕНА КАПЛАН-МАЈЕР МЕТОДЕ У АНАЛИЗИ СТАБИЛНОСТИ БРАКОВА У СРБИЈИ
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.22190/TEME241224041SKljučne reči:
анализа преживљавања, Каплан-Мајер крива, бракови, разводи, СрбијаApstrakt
Имајући у виду промене у друштвеним нормама и економским факторима, преживљавање бракова у Србији се може, са правом, сврстати у актуелно и важно истраживачко питање. У раду је спроведено истраживање преживљавања бракова у Србији у периоду од 2011. до 2022. године. Узорком су обухваћени подаци Републичког завода за статистику Србије, који се односе на преко 400.000 склопљених бракова и 24.240 разведених бракова. Аутори су, вођени циљем да процене вероватноћу трајања бракова, у раду користили Каплан-Мајер криву. Резултати спроведеног истраживања указали су на присуство релативне стабилности бракова током првих неколико година, уз постепено повећање вероватноће за развод како време пролази.
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