РЕЦИДИВИЗАМ СИЛОВАТЕЉА: РЕТРОСПЕКТИВНА АНАЛИЗА СТАТИЧНИХ И ДИНАМИЧКИХ ФАКТОРА РИЗИКА
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.22190/TEME251222018BKljučne reči:
силовање, рецидивизам, сексуални преступници, статични и динамички фактори, процена ризикаApstrakt
Циљ ове ретроспективне студије био је да се испита повезаност између статичких и динамичких фактора ризика и рецидивизма код осуђених силоватеља у Републици Србији. Узорак је обухватио 560 осуђених силоватеља евидентираних у периоду између 2014. и 2023. године, а подаци су прикупљени из званичних евиденција установа за извршење кривичних санкција. Анализа је обухватила статичке факторе ризика, као што су демографске карактеристике, криминална историја и дужина изречене казне, као и динамичке факторе, укључујући злоупотребу психоактивних супстанци, учешће у рехабилитационим програмима и ангажованост у радним и образовним активностима. Резултати показују да су повратници у другим сексуалним кривичним делима (искључујући силовање) били старији у односу на нерецидивисте, док образовање, брачни статус и дужина казне нису показали статистички значајне разлике. Поремећаји личности били су значајно учесталији код рецидивиста, нарочито код оних који су поново извршили друга сексуална кривична дела, док је радна ангажованост била чешћа код нерецидивиста. Учешће у рехабилитационим програмима, посебно у програмима управљања бесом, било је учесталије код рецидивиста силовања. Проблеми повезани са алкохолом и дрогама нису достигли статистичку значајност. Налази указују на потребу за интегрисаном проценом статичких и динамичких фактора ризика у превенцији рецидивизма, при чему су поремећаји личности и радна ангажованост посебно релевантни за процену ризика. Ови резултати имају значајне практичне импликације за третман и процену ризика, уз наглашену препоруку за лонгитудинално праћење након отпуста из затвора.
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